Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:05 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Monterrey v Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX, played at Estadio BBVA. In the table, Monterrey are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Monterrey, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cruz Azul, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Leon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Monterrey.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey 1.3 xG, Guadalajara Chivas 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey 30%, draw 24%, Guadalajara Chivas 46%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterrey30%fair 3.31 · @3.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
Guadalajara Chivas46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
2.92Expected goals
1.27Monterrey xG
1.65Guadalajara Chivas xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Monterrey 1.3 – 1.6 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack vs Liga MX average
+5%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.26
1.68
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✓
46%
2.18
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Monterrey +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✓
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Monterrey – last 6
DDLLWL
18 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ FC Juarez
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Club Queretaro
4–0
W
1 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guadalajara Chivas – last 6
WWWLLW
19 Mar
vs Leon
5–0
W
15 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Toluca
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Club America
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterrey and Guadalajara Chivas.
What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Monterrey have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guadalajara Chivas 46%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Monterrey 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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