Value bet: Santos Laguna to win @ 2.46 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSantos Laguna to win ✓44% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.59
Santos Laguna vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Puebla travel to face Santos Laguna on Monday 23 March in the Liga MX, with Estadio TSM Corona the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Santos Laguna are 6th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Santos Laguna, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Guadalajara Chivas, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Puebla, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Necaxa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Puebla, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Santos Laguna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos Laguna 1.6 xG, Puebla 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos Laguna 44%, draw 25%, Puebla 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Santos Laguna to win @2.46 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos Laguna 1–1 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos Laguna44%fair 2.29 · @2.46
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Puebla32%fair 3.14 · @2.64
2.83Expected goals
1.64Santos Laguna xG
1.19Puebla xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna 1.6 – 1.2 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santos Laguna
Puebla
Attack vs Liga MX average
+0%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.65
0.98
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos Laguna to win✓
44%
2.29
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Santos Laguna (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Puebla +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Santos Laguna to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos Laguna / FT Santos Laguna✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Santos Laguna – last 6
LWLDLL
15 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Club Tijuana
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Club Queretaro
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Leon
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Puebla – last 6
DLWWLL
14 Mar
vs Necaxa
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Club America
0–4
L
14 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna and Puebla.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puebla 32%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 1–1 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna vs Puebla?
Santos Laguna vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
