Value bet: Puebla to win @ 2.65 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPuebla to win ✗40% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Puebla vs FC Juarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Puebla v FC Juarez in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Cuauhtemoc. In the table, Puebla are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; FC Juarez are 18th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Puebla, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santos Laguna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
FC Juarez, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tigres UANL, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Juarez, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Puebla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puebla 1.6 xG, FC Juarez 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puebla 40%, draw 25%, FC Juarez 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Puebla to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puebla 1–1 FC Juarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puebla40%fair 2.47 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
FC Juarez35%fair 2.89 · @2.50
2.83Expected goals
1.57Puebla xG
1.26FC Juarez xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–17%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Puebla 1.6 – 1.3 FC Juarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Puebla
FC Juarez
Attack vs Liga MX average
-19%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+24%
Our expected goals here
1.61
1.08
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puebla to win✗
40%
2.47
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.65
Draw no bet
Puebla (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
FC Juarez +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Puebla to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puebla / FT Puebla✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Puebla – last 6
LDLWWL
23 Mar
@ Santos Laguna
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Necaxa
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Club America
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Juarez – last 6
WDLWWL
23 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Monterrey
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Toluca
1–3
L
5 Mar
@ Club America
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs Atlas
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Necaxa
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla and FC Juarez.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Puebla vs FC Juarez?
On our numbers Puebla have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Juarez 35%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs FC Juarez?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs FC Juarez?
Our predicted score is Puebla 1–1 FC Juarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs FC Juarez?
Puebla vs FC Juarez (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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