Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNecaxa to win ✓50% · @1.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.12
Necaxa vs Mazatlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Necaxa v Mazatlán in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Victoria.
Current form
Necaxa, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Club Tijuana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Mazatlán, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cruz Azul, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mazatlán, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Necaxa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa 1.6 xG, Mazatlán 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa 50%, draw 23%, Mazatlán 27%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa 1–1 Mazatlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa50%fair 2.01 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.00
Mazatlán27%fair 3.66 · @4.75
2.94Expected goals
1.59Necaxa xG
1.36Mazatlán xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Necaxa 1.6 – 1.4 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Necaxa
Mazatlán
Attack vs Liga MX average
-26%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.35
1.55
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Necaxa to win✓
50%
2.01
1.64
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Draw no bet
Necaxa (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Mazatlán +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
First team to score
Necaxa to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Necaxa / FT Necaxa✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Necaxa – last 6
WDLLLL
21 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Puebla
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Leon
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Toluca
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mazatlán – last 6
DLWLWD
21 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Club America
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Leon
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–4
L
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa and Mazatlán.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mazatlán 27%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 1–1 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs Mazatlán?
Necaxa vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
