Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Santos Laguna to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMonterrey to win ✗45% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Santos Laguna vs Monterrey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 27 April: Santos Laguna v Monterrey in the Liga MX, played at Estadio TSM Corona. In the table, Santos Laguna are 6th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Monterrey are 10th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Santos Laguna, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico San Luis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Monterrey, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Puebla, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos Laguna 1.6 xG, Monterrey 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos Laguna 33%, draw 22%, Monterrey 45%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Santos Laguna to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos Laguna 1–1 Monterrey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos Laguna33%fair 3.07 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.85
Monterrey45%fair 2.20 · @1.90
3.14Expected goals
1.58Santos Laguna xG
1.56Monterrey xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna 1.6 – 1.6 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
Attack vs Liga MX average
+0%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.77
1.27
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey to win✗
45%
2.20
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Draw no bet
Monterrey (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Monterrey +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
First team to score
Santos Laguna to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos Laguna / FT Santos Laguna✓
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.05
–
Recent results
Santos Laguna – last 6
LLLDWL
23 Apr
@ Atletico San Luis
0–2
L
20 Apr
vs Atlas
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Pachuca
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs Club America
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monterrey – last 6
WLDLLD
22 Apr
vs Puebla
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Pachuca
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Atlas
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Atletico San Luis
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna and Monterrey.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monterrey 45%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 1–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna vs Monterrey?
Santos Laguna vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
