Cruz Azul vs Necaxa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Liga MX brings Cruz Azul against Necaxa at Estadio Azteca. Kick-off: 02:05 WAT. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Necaxa are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Queretaro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Necaxa, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guadalajara Chivas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Necaxa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Cruz Azul.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 2.3 xG, Necaxa 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 68%, draw 18%, Necaxa 14%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cruz Azul to win (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 2–0 Necaxa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul68%fair 1.46 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
Necaxa14%fair 7.27 · @7.90
3.18Expected goals
2.26Cruz Azul xG
0.92Necaxa xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.3 – 0.9 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul
Necaxa
Attack vs Liga MX average
+40%
-26%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+7%
Our expected goals here
2.40
1.00
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul – last 6
DDDDLL
22 Apr
@ Club Queretaro
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Club Tijuana
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Los Angeles FC
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Club America
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Necaxa – last 6
DDLWWD
23 Apr
vs Guadalajara Chivas
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Tigres UANL
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Club Queretaro
1–3
L
4 Apr
vs Mazatlán
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Puebla
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Necaxa.
Our pick is Cruz Azul to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Necaxa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–0 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
Cruz Azul vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
