Value bet: Waterford to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDrogheda United to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.43
Drogheda United vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 13 February: Drogheda United v Waterford in the Premier Division, played at Weavers Park. In the table, Drogheda United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Drogheda United 1.2 xG, Waterford 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Drogheda United 43%, draw 26%, Waterford 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Waterford to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drogheda United 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Drogheda United43%fair 2.34 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.25
Waterford32%fair 3.17 · @3.80
2.35Expected goals
1.22Drogheda United xG
1.13Waterford xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.2 – 1.1 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Drogheda United to win✓
43%
2.34
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.77
Draw no bet
Drogheda United (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Waterford +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.09
First team to score
Drogheda United to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Drogheda United / FT Drogheda United✓
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.43
–
Recent results
Drogheda United
No recent results on record.
Waterford
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Drogheda United and Waterford.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Waterford?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Waterford?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Waterford 32%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Waterford?
Drogheda United vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
