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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dundalk v St Patrick's Athl.: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Oriel Park

Dundalk

WDWDL
2–0
FT

St Patrick's Athl.

WWDWW
Dundalk 32%Draw 26%St Patrick's Athl. 43% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.51
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Dundalk v St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division, played at Oriel Park. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dundalk, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Shelbourne, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sligo Rovers, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Dundalk.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended St Patrick's Athl. 4–0 Dundalk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.3 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 32%, draw 26%, St Patrick's Athl. 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dundalk32%fair 3.16 · @3.20
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
St Patrick's Athl.43%fair 2.34 · @2.22
2.78Expected goals
1.27Dundalk xG
1.51St Patrick's Athl. xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Dundalk 1.3 – 1.5 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗43%2.342.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.80
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✗58%1.74–
Asian handicapDundalk +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.08
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.13–

Recent results

Dundalk – last 6

WDWDLD
3 Apr@ Shelbourne3–2W
20 Mar@ Bohemians1–1D
16 Marvs Sligo Rovers1–0W
6 Mar@ Galway United2–2D
27 Feb@ St Patrick's Athl.0–4L
23 Feb@ Shamrock Rovers1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

WWDWWW
3 Aprvs Sligo Rovers4–1W
20 Mar@ Waterford2–0W
16 Marvs Derry City0–0D
13 Marvs Drogheda United4–1W
6 Mar@ Shelbourne3–2W
2 Marvs Galway United1–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Dundalk4–0
Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub
FT Bohemians1 Waterford1 160%1.30X21%5.00219%9.70 1.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✓
FT Drogheda United2 Galway United3 140%2.60X27%3.10233%2.78 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗
FT Shamrock Rovers3 Shelbourne2 146%2.10X25%3.20229%3.55 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Sligo Rovers0 Derry City0 120%4.30X25%3.45255%1.83 0.9–1.7xG X2Derry City or draw 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

On our numbers Dundalk have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and St Patrick's Athl. 43%.

How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.