Sligo Rovers 20%Draw 25%Derry City 55%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.67
80%
Betarazi pick
Derry City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✗55% · @1.83
Double chanceDerry City or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sligo Rovers welcome Derry City to Showgrounds for a Premier Division fixture on Monday 6 April (17:00 WAT). In the table, Sligo Rovers are 10th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sligo Rovers, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Derry City, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Galway United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Derry City, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Sligo Rovers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sligo Rovers 0.9 xG, Derry City 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sligo Rovers 20%, draw 25%, Derry City 55%.
Lower-risk option: Derry City or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Derry City or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sligo Rovers 0–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sligo Rovers20%fair 5.03 · @4.30
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.45
Derry City55%fair 1.83 · @1.83
2.60Expected goals
0.93Sligo Rovers xG
1.67Derry City xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 0.9 – 1.7 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Double chance
Derry City or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Derry City (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Sligo Rovers +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Derry City to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Sligo Rovers – last 5
LLLLD
3 Apr
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
16 Mar
@ Dundalk
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Galway United
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Waterford
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Derry City – last 6
LDDLLW
3 Apr
@ Galway United
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Drogheda United
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Waterford
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sligo Rovers and Derry City.
What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our pick is Derry City or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Derry City 55%.
How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 0–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
