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Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl.: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Weavers Park
Drogheda United 23%Draw 27%St Patrick's Athl. 51% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.40
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓51% · @1.84
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Drogheda United welcome St Patrick's Athl. to Weavers Park for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 17 April (19:45 WAT). In the table, Drogheda United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Drogheda United, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Galway United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Drogheda United.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended St Patrick's Athl. 4–1 Drogheda United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Drogheda United 1.0 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Drogheda United 23%, draw 27%, St Patrick's Athl. 51%.
  • Lower-risk option: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (77%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drogheda United 0–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Drogheda United23%fair 4.43 · @4.45
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.35
St Patrick's Athl.51%fair 1.98 · @1.84
2.37Expected goals
0.97Drogheda United xG
1.40St Patrick's Athl. xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
0–29%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.0 – 1.4 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓51%1.981.84
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓77%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapDrogheda United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✓28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.24–

Recent results

Drogheda United – last 6

LDDDLL
6 Aprvs Galway United2–3L
3 Aprvs Bohemians0–0D
20 Mar@ Derry City2–2D
16 Marvs Shamrock Rovers0–0D
13 Mar@ St Patrick's Athl.1–4L
27 Febvs Shelbourne1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

LLWWDW
10 Aprvs Shamrock Rovers0–1L
6 Apr@ Dundalk0–2L
3 Aprvs Sligo Rovers4–1W
20 Mar@ Waterford2–0W
16 Marvs Derry City0–0D
13 Marvs Drogheda United4–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United4–1
Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?

On our numbers Drogheda United have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and St Patrick's Athl. 51%.

How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our predicted score is Drogheda United 0–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.