Derry City vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derry City welcome Drogheda United to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 26 June (19:45 WAT). In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shamrock Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Drogheda United, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Shelbourne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Drogheda United 1–0 Derry City. The last 2 head-to-heads: Derry City 0 wins, Drogheda United 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.7 xG, Drogheda United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 56%, draw 25%, Drogheda United 19%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City56%fair 1.78 · @1.55
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.85
Drogheda United19%fair 5.40 · @6.00
2.64Expected goals
1.68Derry City xG
0.96Drogheda United xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.7 – 1.0 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Derry City vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Derry City have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Drogheda United 19%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Derry City vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
