Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultDundalk to win ✗53% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Dundalk vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waterford travel to face Dundalk on Friday 26 June in the Premier Division, with Oriel Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dundalk, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bohemians, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Waterford, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Waterford.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Waterford 3–3 Dundalk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.9 xG, Waterford 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 53%, draw 21%, Waterford 25%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundalk53%fair 1.87 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.45
Waterford25%fair 3.98 · @5.60
3.35Expected goals
1.86Dundalk xG
1.49Waterford xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.9 – 1.5 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Dundalk vs Waterford?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 25%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Waterford?
Dundalk vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.