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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dundalk v Waterford: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Oriel Park

Dundalk

WWWDL
2–3
FT
Dundalk 53%Draw 21%Waterford 25% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.49
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultDundalk to win ✗53% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Dundalk vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Waterford travel to face Dundalk on Friday 26 June in the Premier Division, with Oriel Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Dundalk, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bohemians, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Waterford, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Waterford.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Waterford 3–3 Dundalk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.9 xG, Waterford 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 53%, draw 21%, Waterford 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dundalk53%fair 1.87 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.45
Waterford25%fair 3.98 · @5.60
3.35Expected goals
1.86Dundalk xG
1.49Waterford xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%

From our goals model: Dundalk 1.9 – 1.5 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDundalk to win ✗53%1.871.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.55
Draw no betDundalk (draw no bet) ✗68%1.47–
Asian handicapWaterford +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.551.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
First team to scoreDundalk to score first54%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dundalk / FT Dundalk ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

Dundalk – last 6

WWWDLD
19 Jun@ Bohemians2–1W
12 Jun@ Galway United1–0W
29 Mayvs Derry City2–1W
22 May@ Drogheda United1–1D
8 Mayvs Bohemians1–3L
4 May@ Waterford3–3D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Waterford – last 6

LWDLWL
19 Junvs Shamrock Rovers0–2L
12 Junvs Sligo Rovers4–0W
29 May@ Drogheda United3–3D
22 May@ Shelbourne1–2L
18 Mayvs Drogheda United2–1W
8 May@ St Patrick's Athl.1–4L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Waterford v Dundalk3–3
Dundalk vs Waterford head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Waterford?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Dundalk vs Waterford?

On our numbers Dundalk have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 25%.

How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Waterford?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Waterford?

Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Dundalk vs Waterford?

Dundalk vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.