Derry City vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 3 July: Derry City v Waterford in the Premier Division, played at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Drogheda United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Waterford, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Dundalk, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Derry City 4–2 Waterford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.7 xG, Waterford 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 57%, draw 23%, Waterford 20%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City57%fair 1.77 · @1.43
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @4.33
Waterford20%fair 4.99 · @7.10
2.86Expected goals
1.72Derry City xG
1.14Waterford xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.7 – 1.1 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derry City vs Waterford?
On our numbers Derry City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Waterford 20%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Waterford?
Derry City vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
