Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✓46% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.84
Shelbourne vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dundalk travel to face Shelbourne on Friday 3 July in the Premier Division, with Tolka Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45.
Current form
Shelbourne, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sligo Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Dundalk, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Waterford, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Shelbourne.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Dundalk 1–2 Shelbourne. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shelbourne 1 win, Dundalk 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.9 xG, Dundalk 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 46%, draw 22%, Dundalk 31%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne46%fair 2.15 · @2.16
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.70
Dundalk31%fair 3.19 · @2.98
3.29Expected goals
1.87Shelbourne xG
1.43Dundalk xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.9 – 1.4 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dundalk 31%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Dundalk?
Shelbourne vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
