Dundalk 55%Draw 23%Drogheda United 22%Expected goals 1.85 – 1.25
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultDundalk to win ✗55% · @1.59
Double chanceDundalk or draw ✗78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Dundalk vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 10 July the Premier Division brings Dundalk against Drogheda United at Oriel Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40.
Current form
Dundalk, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shelbourne, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Drogheda United, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bohemians, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Drogheda United.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Drogheda United 1–1 Dundalk. The last 2 head-to-heads: Dundalk 0 wins, Drogheda United 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.8 xG, Drogheda United 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 55%, draw 23%, Drogheda United 22%.
Lower-risk option: Dundalk or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundalk55%fair 1.82 · @1.59
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.10
Drogheda United22%fair 4.61 · @5.00
3.10Expected goals
1.85Dundalk xG
1.25Drogheda United xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.8 – 1.3 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Drogheda United 22%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Dundalk vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
