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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Regional Sports Centre
1–1
FT
Waterford 23%Draw 25%St Patrick's Athl. 53% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.55
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗53% · @1.57
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓77% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

St Patrick's Athl. travel to face Waterford on Friday 10 July in the Premier Division, with Regional Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Waterford, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Derry City, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Galway United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended St Patrick's Athl. 4–1 Waterford. The last 2 head-to-heads: Waterford 0 wins, St Patrick's Athl. 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.2 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 23%, draw 25%, St Patrick's Athl. 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (77%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waterford23%fair 4.44 · @5.70
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.90
St Patrick's Athl.53%fair 1.89 · @1.57
2.73Expected goals
1.19Waterford xG
1.55St Patrick's Athl. xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Waterford 1.2 – 1.5 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗53%1.891.57
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓77%1.291.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.77
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapWaterford +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✗27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.84–

Recent results

Waterford – last 6

WWLWDL
3 Jul@ Derry City4–2W
26 Jun@ Dundalk3–2W
19 Junvs Shamrock Rovers0–2L
12 Junvs Sligo Rovers4–0W
29 May@ Drogheda United3–3D
22 May@ Shelbourne1–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

WLWWLD
3 Julvs Galway United3–0W
26 Jun@ Bohemians0–2L
19 Junvs Sligo Rovers2–0W
12 Junvs Drogheda United2–0W
29 May@ Shamrock Rovers0–1L
22 May@ Derry City0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford4–1
20 Mar 2026Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.0–2
Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?

On our numbers Waterford have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and St Patrick's Athl. 53%.

How many goals will there be in Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.