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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Derry City v Galway United: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Brandywell Stadium
1–0
FT
Derry City 57%Draw 22%Galway United 20% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.00
80%
Betarazi pick

Derry City or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultDerry City to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceDerry City or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Derry City vs Galway United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 18 September: Derry City v Galway United in the Premier Division, played at Brandywell Stadium. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Galway United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42.

Current form

Derry City, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Waterford, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Galway United, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sligo Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jun 2026) it ended Galway United 2–1 Derry City. The last 3 head-to-heads: Derry City 0 wins, Galway United 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.8 xG, Galway United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 57%, draw 22%, Galway United 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Derry City or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Derry City or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Galway United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Derry City57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.60
Galway United20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
2.84Expected goals
1.84Derry City xG
1.00Galway United xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Derry City 1.8 – 1.0 Galway United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDerry City to win ✓57%1.751.80
Double chanceDerry City or draw ✓80%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.711.60
Draw no betDerry City (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapGalway United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.85–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreDerry City to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultDerry City ahead at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Derry City / FT Derry City ✓36%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Derry City – last 6

DWWDLW
14 Sep@ Waterford2–2D
11 Sep@ Shelbourne1–0W
6 Sepvs Dundalk4–2W
30 Augvs Shamrock Rovers3–3D
21 Aug@ Bohemians3–5L
14 Aug@ UCD2–1W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Galway United – last 6

WLWDWD
14 Sep@ Sligo Rovers3–1W
11 Sepvs Bohemians2–3L
4 Sep@ Drogheda United2–1W
28 Augvs Shelbourne1–1D
21 Aug@ Dundalk2–1W
14 Augvs Bray Wanderers1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jun 2026Galway United v Derry City2–1
4 May 2026Derry City v Galway United1–1
3 Apr 2026Galway United v Derry City2–1
Derry City vs Galway United head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Derry City vs Galway United?

Our pick is Derry City or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Derry City vs Galway United?

On our numbers Derry City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Galway United 20%.

How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Galway United?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Galway United?

Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Galway United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Derry City vs Galway United?

Derry City vs Galway United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Brandywell Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.