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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dundalk v Shelbourne: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Oriel Park

Dundalk

LDLWL
2–3
FT
Dundalk 41%Draw 22%Shelbourne 36% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.39
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultDundalk to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Dundalk vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 18 September the Premier Division brings Dundalk against Shelbourne at Oriel Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Shelbourne are 4th (among the top four) with 49.

Current form

Dundalk, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Shelbourne, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Drogheda United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Shelbourne.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Shelbourne 2–1 Dundalk. The last 3 head-to-heads: Dundalk 1 win, Shelbourne 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.5 xG, Shelbourne 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 41%, draw 22%, Shelbourne 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dundalk41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Shelbourne36%fair 2.76 · @2.88
2.90Expected goals
1.51Dundalk xG
1.39Shelbourne xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: Dundalk 1.5 – 1.4 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDundalk to win ✗41%2.422.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.60
Draw no betDundalk (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapShelbourne +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreDundalk to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dundalk / FT Dundalk ✗24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.49–

Recent results

Dundalk – last 6

LDLWLW
14 Sepvs St Patrick's Athl.0–4L
11 Sep@ Waterford1–1D
6 Sep@ Derry City2–4L
28 Aug@ Drogheda United3–2W
21 Augvs Galway United1–2L
15 Augvs Castlebar Celtic8–0W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Shelbourne – last 6

LLDDLL
14 Sepvs Drogheda United1–2L
11 Sepvs Derry City0–1L
28 Aug@ Galway United1–1D
13 Augvs Ajax2–2D
9 Augvs St Patrick's Athl.1–2L
6 Aug@ Ajax1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026Shelbourne v Dundalk2–1
1 May 2026Dundalk v Shelbourne1–2
3 Apr 2026Shelbourne v Dundalk2–3
Dundalk vs Shelbourne head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

On our numbers Dundalk have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shelbourne 36%.

How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Dundalk vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.