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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Drogheda United v Derry City: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Weavers Park
2–0
FT
Drogheda United 36%Draw 22%Derry City 43% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.46
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultDerry City to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40

Drogheda United vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Derry City travel to face Drogheda United on Friday 16 October in the Premier Division, with Weavers Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Drogheda United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48.

Current form

Drogheda United, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Derry City, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Galway United, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Derry City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Drogheda United.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended Derry City 2–0 Drogheda United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Drogheda United 1 win, Derry City 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Drogheda United 1.3 xG, Derry City 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Drogheda United 36%, draw 22%, Derry City 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drogheda United 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Drogheda United36%fair 2.81 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Derry City43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
2.77Expected goals
1.31Drogheda United xG
1.46Derry City xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.3 – 1.5 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDerry City to win ✗43%2.342.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.711.67
Draw no betDerry City (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapDrogheda United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreDerry City to score first ✗50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Derry City / FT Derry City ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.40–

Recent results

Drogheda United – last 6

LWLWWL
8 Oct@ Shamrock Rovers1–3L
1 Oct@ Trabzonspor1–0W
18 Sep@ Bohemians1–2L
14 Sep@ Shelbourne2–1W
11 Sepvs Sligo Rovers2–0W
4 Sepvs Galway United1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Derry City – last 6

WWDWWD
10 Oct@ Galway United2–0W
18 Sepvs Galway United1–0W
14 Sep@ Waterford2–2D
11 Sep@ Shelbourne1–0W
6 Sepvs Dundalk4–2W
30 Augvs Shamrock Rovers3–3D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jun 2026Derry City v Drogheda United2–0
8 May 2026Drogheda United v Derry City1–0
20 Mar 2026Derry City v Drogheda United2–2
Drogheda United vs Derry City head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Derry City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Drogheda United vs Derry City?

On our numbers Drogheda United have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derry City 43%.

How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Derry City?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Derry City?

Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Drogheda United vs Derry City?

Drogheda United vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.