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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St Patrick's Athl. v Shelbourne: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Richmond Park
1–2
FT
St Patrick's Athl. 66%Draw 23%Shelbourne 11% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.68
66%
Betarazi pick

St Patrick's Athl. to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗66% · @1.57
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✗89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 16 October the Premier Division brings St Patrick's Athl. against Shelbourne at Richmond Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Shelbourne are 4th (among the top four) with 49.

Current form

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sligo Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Shelbourne, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Sligo Rovers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Shelbourne.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Shelbourne 1–2 St Patrick's Athl.. The last 2 head-to-heads: St Patrick's Athl. 2 wins, Shelbourne 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 xG, Shelbourne 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 66%, draw 23%, Shelbourne 11%.
  • Lower-risk option: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (89%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was St Patrick's Athl. to win (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St Patrick's Athl.66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.90
Shelbourne11%fair 9.11 · @5.00
2.62Expected goals
1.94St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.68Shelbourne xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 – 0.7 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗66%1.521.57
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✗89%1.121.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.75
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✗86%1.17–
Asian handicapSt Patrick's Athl. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultSt Patrick's Athl. ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✗43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.72–

Recent results

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

WWWDLW
19 Sep@ Sligo Rovers1–0W
14 Sep@ Dundalk4–0W
11 Sepvs Shamrock Rovers2–0W
5 Sepvs Bohemians0–0D
28 Augvs Waterford0–2L
21 Aug@ Drogheda United2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Shelbourne – last 6

WDWLLD
9 Octvs Sligo Rovers5–1W
25 Sep@ Galway United1–1D
18 Sep@ Dundalk3–2W
14 Sepvs Drogheda United1–2L
11 Sepvs Derry City0–1L
28 Aug@ Galway United1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026Shelbourne v St Patrick's Athl.1–2
6 Mar 2026Shelbourne v St Patrick's Athl.2–3
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?

Our pick is St Patrick's Athl. to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?

On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shelbourne 11%.

How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?

Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.