Derry City 56%Draw 21%Dundalk 22%Expected goals 1.84 – 1.06
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✓56% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.13
Derry City vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 23 October: Derry City v Dundalk in the Premier Division, played at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over St Patrick's Athl., at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Dundalk, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sligo Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Derry City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Dundalk.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Derry City 4–2 Dundalk. The last 4 head-to-heads: Derry City 1 win, Dundalk 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 4.3 goals and saw GG land 4 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.8 xG, Dundalk 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 56%, draw 21%, Dundalk 22%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City56%fair 1.78 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Dundalk22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
2.90Expected goals
1.84Derry City xG
1.06Dundalk xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.8 – 1.1 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Derry City vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Derry City have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundalk 22%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Dundalk?
Derry City vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
