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Waterford v Drogheda United: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Regional Sports Centre
3–1
FT
Waterford 57%Draw 21%Drogheda United 22% Expected goals 1.89 – 1.07
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultWaterford to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Waterford vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Drogheda United travel to face Waterford on Friday 23 October in the Premier Division, with Regional Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Waterford, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Galway United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Drogheda United, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Derry City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Drogheda United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Waterford.

Head to head

When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford. The last 3 head-to-heads: Waterford 1 win, Drogheda United 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.9 xG, Drogheda United 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 57%, draw 21%, Drogheda United 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waterford57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Drogheda United22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
2.96Expected goals
1.89Waterford xG
1.07Drogheda United xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Waterford 1.9 – 1.1 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaterford to win ✓57%1.751.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.57
Draw no betWaterford (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapDrogheda United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreWaterford to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultWaterford ahead at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waterford / FT Waterford ✗35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Waterford – last 6

WLWLDD
19 Octvs Galway United3–2W
16 Oct@ Bohemians1–2L
9 Oct@ Bohemians2–0W
18 Sep@ Shamrock Rovers2–3L
14 Sepvs Derry City2–2D
11 Sepvs Dundalk1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Drogheda United – last 6

WLWLWW
16 Octvs Derry City2–0W
8 Oct@ Shamrock Rovers1–3L
1 Oct@ Trabzonspor1–0W
18 Sep@ Bohemians1–2L
14 Sep@ Shelbourne2–1W
11 Sepvs Sligo Rovers2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 May 2026Drogheda United v Waterford3–3
18 May 2026Waterford v Drogheda United2–1
13 Feb 2026Drogheda United v Waterford2–0
Waterford vs Drogheda United head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waterford vs Drogheda United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?

On our numbers Waterford have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Drogheda United 22%.

How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Drogheda United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Drogheda United?

Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Waterford vs Drogheda United?

Waterford vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.