Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Shelbourne to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Shelbourne vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 30 October: Shelbourne v Waterford in the Premier Division, played at Tolka Park. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43.
Current form
Shelbourne, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bohemians, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Waterford, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Drogheda United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Waterford 1–0 Shelbourne. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shelbourne 1 win, Waterford 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.9 xG, Waterford 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 59%, draw 19%, Waterford 22%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Shelbourne to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @3.60
Waterford22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
2.96Expected goals
1.91Shelbourne xG
1.05Waterford xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.9 – 1.1 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Waterford?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Waterford 22%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Shelbourne vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
