Sligo Rovers 14%Draw 20%Derry City 66%Expected goals 0.72 – 1.89
66%
Betarazi pick
Derry City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceDerry City or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derry City travel to face Sligo Rovers on Friday 30 October in the Premier Division, with Showgrounds the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Sligo Rovers are 10th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sligo Rovers, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Derry City, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dundalk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Derry City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Sligo Rovers.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Derry City 2–0 Sligo Rovers. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sligo Rovers 0 wins, Derry City 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sligo Rovers 0.7 xG, Derry City 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sligo Rovers 14%, draw 20%, Derry City 66%.
Lower-risk option: Derry City or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Derry City to win (66%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sligo Rovers 0–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sligo Rovers14%fair 7.01 · @5.00
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.00
Derry City66%fair 1.53 · @1.55
2.61Expected goals
0.72Sligo Rovers xG
1.89Derry City xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 0.7 – 1.9 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our pick is Derry City to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Derry City 66%.
How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 0–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
