Value bet: Athlone Town to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAthlone Town to win ✓44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.45
Athlone Town vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 13 February: Athlone Town v Finn Harps in the First Division, played at Lissywoollen. In the table, Athlone Town are 7th, lower half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athlone Town 1.6 xG, Finn Harps 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athlone Town 44%, draw 24%, Finn Harps 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Athlone Town to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athlone Town 1–1 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athlone Town44%fair 2.29 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.30
Finn Harps32%fair 3.14 · @2.52
2.68Expected goals
1.63Athlone Town xG
1.04Finn Harps xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Athlone Town 1.6 – 1.0 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athlone Town to win✓
44%
2.29
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Draw no bet
Athlone Town (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Finn Harps +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Athlone Town to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athlone Town / FT Athlone Town✓
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Athlone Town
No recent results on record.
Finn Harps
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athlone Town and Finn Harps.
What is the prediction for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Athlone Town have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Finn Harps 32%.
How many goals will there be in Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Athlone Town 1–1 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?
Athlone Town vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lissywoollen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1