UCD welcome Kerry to UCD Bowl for a First Division fixture on Friday 13 February (20:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCD 1.7 xG, Kerry 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 50%, draw 25%, Kerry 25%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 1–1 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCD50%fair 2.01 · @2.08
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
Kerry25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
2.78Expected goals
1.67UCD xG
1.11Kerry xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: UCD 1.7 – 1.1 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCD to win✓
50%
2.01
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
UCD (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Kerry +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
UCD to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCD / FT UCD✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
UCD
No recent results on record.
Kerry
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCD and Kerry.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win UCD vs Kerry?
On our numbers UCD have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kerry 25%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Kerry?
UCD vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
