Kerry vs Athlone Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kerry welcome Athlone Town to Mounthawk Park for a First Division fixture on Friday 20 February (20:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.4 xG, Athlone Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 43%, draw 26%, Athlone Town 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.72.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Athlone Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kerry43%fair 2.30 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
Athlone Town30%fair 3.32 · @3.20
2.60Expected goals
1.42Kerry xG
1.18Athlone Town xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.4 – 1.2 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kerry to win✗
43%
2.30
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.72
Draw no bet
Kerry (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Athlone Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Kerry to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kerry / FT Kerry✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Kerry – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ UCD
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Athlone Town – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Finn Harps
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kerry and Athlone Town.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Kerry vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Kerry have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Athlone Town 30%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Athlone Town?
Kerry vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
