Kerry vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Longford Town travel to face Kerry on Friday 27 February in the First Division, with Mounthawk Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.3 xG, Longford Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 41%, draw 26%, Longford Town 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kerry41%fair 2.42 · @2.28
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
Longford Town32%fair 3.09 · @3.10
2.48Expected goals
1.34Kerry xG
1.14Longford Town xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.1 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kerry to win✗
41%
2.42
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
Kerry (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Longford Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Kerry to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kerry / FT Kerry✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Kerry – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Athlone Town
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ UCD
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Longford Town – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Bray Wanderers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kerry and Longford Town.
What is the prediction for Kerry vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kerry vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Kerry have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Longford Town 32%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Longford Town?
Kerry vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
