Value bet: UCD to win @ 2.28 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUCD to win ✓47% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
UCD vs Treaty United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 27 February: UCD v Treaty United in the First Division, played at UCD Bowl. In the table, UCD are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 36 matches; Treaty United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 42. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCD 1.6 xG, Treaty United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 47%, draw 24%, Treaty United 29%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: UCD to win @2.28 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 1–1 Treaty United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCD47%fair 2.14 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Treaty United29%fair 3.41 · @3.05
2.60Expected goals
1.60UCD xG
1.00Treaty United xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: UCD 1.6 – 1.0 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCD to win✓
47%
2.14
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.73
Draw no bet
UCD (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Treaty United +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
UCD to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCD / FT UCD✓
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
UCD – last 2
LW
20 Feb
@ Finn Harps
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Kerry
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Treaty United – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Cork City
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCD and Treaty United.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win UCD vs Treaty United?
On our numbers UCD have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Treaty United 29%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Treaty United?
UCD vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1