Finn Harps vs Wexford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 March the First Division brings Finn Harps against Wexford at Finn Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Wexford are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Finn Harps, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cobh Ramblers, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Wexford, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Athlone Town, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 1.4 xG, Wexford 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 33%, draw 26%, Wexford 41%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 1–1 Wexford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Finn Harps33%fair 3.02 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
Wexford41%fair 2.45 · @2.44
2.92Expected goals
1.37Finn Harps xG
1.55Wexford xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.4 – 1.6 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wexford to win✗
41%
2.45
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Wexford (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Finn Harps +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Wexford to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wexford / FT Wexford✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Finn Harps – last 3
DWL
27 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs UCD
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Athlone Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wexford – last 3
DLW
27 Feb
@ Athlone Town
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Cork City
1–4
L
13 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Finn Harps and Wexford.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Wexford?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wexford 41%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Wexford?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Wexford?
Finn Harps vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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