Treaty United 39%Draw 27%Kerry 33%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.04
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kerry to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTreaty United to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.03
Treaty United vs Kerry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kerry travel to face Treaty United on Friday 6 March in the First Division, with Markets Field the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Current form
Treaty United, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to UCD, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Kerry, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Longford Town, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.1 xG, Kerry 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 39%, draw 27%, Kerry 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Kerry to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–1 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treaty United39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.25
Kerry33%fair 3.01 · @3.25
2.10Expected goals
1.06Treaty United xG
1.04Kerry xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.1 – 1.0 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treaty United to win✗
39%
2.54
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Treaty United (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Kerry +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Treaty United to score first✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.03
–
Recent results
Treaty United – last 3
LLL
27 Feb
@ UCD
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Cork City
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kerry – last 3
DLL
27 Feb
vs Longford Town
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Athlone Town
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ UCD
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treaty United and Kerry.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Kerry?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Treaty United vs Kerry?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kerry 33%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Kerry?
Treaty United vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
