Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCork City to win ✓51% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.00
UCD vs Cork City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 20 March: UCD v Cork City in the First Division, played at UCD Bowl. In the table, UCD are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 36 matches; Cork City are 1st (leading the league) with 75. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCD, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bray Wanderers, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Cork City, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Longford Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cork City, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.5 for UCD.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCD 1.3 xG, Cork City 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 25%, draw 24%, Cork City 51%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 1–1 Cork City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCD25%fair 3.95 · @5.70
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.65
Cork City51%fair 1.95 · @1.62
2.91Expected goals
1.32UCD xG
1.59Cork City xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: UCD 1.3 – 1.6 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cork City to win✓
51%
1.95
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Cork City (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
UCD +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Cork City to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cork City / FT Cork City✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
UCD – last 4
LWLW
13 Mar
@ Bray Wanderers
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Treaty United
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Finn Harps
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Kerry
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Cork City – last 5
WDWWW
13 Mar
vs Longford Town
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Wexford
4–1
W
13 Feb
vs Treaty United
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCD and Cork City.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win UCD vs Cork City?
On our numbers UCD have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cork City 51%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Cork City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Cork City?
UCD vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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