Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCork City to win ✗64% · @1.38
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Finn Harps vs Cork City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the First Division brings Finn Harps against Cork City at Finn Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Cork City are 1st (leading the league) with 75. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Finn Harps, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kerry, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Cork City, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Athlone Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Cork City, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Finn Harps.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 0.9 xG, Cork City 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 14%, draw 21%, Cork City 64%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 0–2 Cork City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Finn Harps14%fair 6.93 · @8.80
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.35
Cork City64%fair 1.56 · @1.38
2.84Expected goals
0.87Finn Harps xG
1.96Cork City xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 0.9 – 2.0 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cork City to win✗
64%
1.56
1.38
Double chance
Cork City or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Cork City (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Cork City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Cork City to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Cork City ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cork City / FT Cork City✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Finn Harps – last 6
LDDDWL
20 Mar
@ Kerry
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Treaty United
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Wexford
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs UCD
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Athlone Town
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cork City – last 6
WWWDWW
27 Mar
vs Athlone Town
4–1
W
20 Mar
@ UCD
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Longford Town
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Wexford
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Finn Harps and Cork City.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Cork City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Cork City?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cork City 64%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Cork City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 0–2 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Cork City?
Finn Harps vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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