Value bet: Longford Town to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTreaty United to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.69
Treaty United vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Treaty United welcome Longford Town to Markets Field for a First Division fixture on Friday 3 April (19:45 WAT). In the table, Treaty United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Longford Town are 5th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
Treaty United, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Wexford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Longford Town, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cork City, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.2 xG, Longford Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 38%, draw 27%, Longford Town 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Longford Town to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–1 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treaty United38%fair 2.60 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Longford Town35%fair 2.87 · @3.10
2.46Expected goals
1.22Treaty United xG
1.24Longford Town xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.2 – 1.2 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treaty United to win✗
38%
2.60
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Treaty United (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Treaty United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Longford Town to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Longford Town / FT Longford Town✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.69
–
Recent results
Treaty United – last 6
LWDDLL
27 Mar
@ Wexford
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs Athlone Town
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Finn Harps
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Kerry
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ UCD
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Longford Town – last 3
LDD
13 Mar
@ Cork City
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Kerry
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Bray Wanderers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treaty United and Longford Town.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Treaty United vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Longford Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Longford Town?
Treaty United vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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