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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kerry v Treaty United: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Mounthawk Park

Kerry

DLLLW
1–1
FT

Treaty United

LDLWD
Kerry 43%Draw 27%Treaty United 30% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.02
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultKerry to win ✗43% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Kerry vs Treaty United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Treaty United travel to face Kerry on Friday 17 April in the First Division, with Mounthawk Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Kerry, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with UCD, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Treaty United, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Cobh Ramblers, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Treaty United 2–2 Kerry.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.4 xG, Treaty United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 43%, draw 27%, Treaty United 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Treaty United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kerry43%fair 2.35 · @2.48
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
Treaty United30%fair 3.33 · @2.90
2.44Expected goals
1.42Kerry xG
1.02Treaty United xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: Kerry 1.4 – 1.0 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKerry to win ✗43%2.352.48 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.80
Draw no betKerry (draw no bet)59%1.71–
Asian handicapTreaty United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreKerry to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kerry / FT Kerry ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

Kerry – last 6

DLLLWD
10 Aprvs UCD1–1D
6 Apr@ Cork City2–4L
3 Aprvs Cobh Ramblers1–2L
27 Mar@ Bray Wanderers1–2L
20 Marvs Finn Harps1–0W
13 Mar@ Wexford1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Treaty United – last 6

LDLWDD
6 Apr@ Cobh Ramblers0–4L
3 Aprvs Longford Town0–0D
27 Mar@ Wexford2–3L
20 Marvs Athlone Town2–0W
13 Mar@ Finn Harps2–2D
6 Marvs Kerry2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Treaty United v Kerry2–2
Kerry vs Treaty United head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub
FT Athlone Town2 Bray Wanderers1 135%2.96X25%3.40240%2.28 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Cobh Ramblers0 Longford Town0 149%1.80X25%3.70226%4.10 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✗
FT Cork City2 Wexford1 168%1.32X20%4.60212%10.50 2.2–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT UCD2 Finn Harps1 157%2.08X22%3.35222%3.45 2.0–0.9xG 1XUCD or draw 78%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kerry vs Treaty United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kerry vs Treaty United?

On our numbers Kerry have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Treaty United 30%.

How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Treaty United?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Treaty United?

Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Kerry vs Treaty United?

Kerry vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.