Value bet: Athlone Town to win @ 3.15 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAthlone Town to win ✓39% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.37
Finn Harps vs Athlone Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 24 April: Finn Harps v Athlone Town in the First Division, played at Finn Park. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Athlone Town are 7th (lower half) with 48. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Finn Harps, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to UCD, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Athlone Town, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bray Wanderers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Athlone Town, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Finn Harps.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Athlone Town 2–1 Finn Harps.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 1.1 xG, Athlone Town 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 36%, draw 26%, Athlone Town 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Athlone Town to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 1–1 Athlone Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Finn Harps36%fair 2.81 · @2.22
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.35
Athlone Town39%fair 2.58 · @3.15
2.50Expected goals
1.11Finn Harps xG
1.39Athlone Town xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.1 – 1.4 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Finn Harps have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Athlone Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?
Finn Harps vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
