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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Treaty United v UCD: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Markets Field
0–3
FT

UCD

WDDWW
Treaty United 29%Draw 26%UCD 45% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.49
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultUCD to win ✓45% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Treaty United vs UCD: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 24 April the First Division brings Treaty United against UCD at Markets Field. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Treaty United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; UCD are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Treaty United, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kerry, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

UCD, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Finn Harps, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours UCD, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Treaty United.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended UCD 2–0 Treaty United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.1 xG, UCD 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 29%, draw 26%, UCD 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–1 UCD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Treaty United29%fair 3.40 · @3.15
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.20
UCD45%fair 2.22 · @2.28
2.59Expected goals
1.10Treaty United xG
1.49UCD xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Treaty United 1.1 – 1.5 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUCD to win ✓45%2.222.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.83
Draw no betUCD (draw no bet) ✓60%1.65–
Asian handicapTreaty United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.07
First team to scoreUCD to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT UCD / FT UCD ✓27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

Treaty United – last 6

DLDLWD
17 Apr@ Kerry1–1D
6 Apr@ Cobh Ramblers0–4L
3 Aprvs Longford Town0–0D
27 Mar@ Wexford2–3L
20 Marvs Athlone Town2–0W
13 Mar@ Finn Harps2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

UCD – last 6

WDDWWL
17 Aprvs Finn Harps2–1W
10 Apr@ Kerry1–1D
6 Aprvs Wexford0–0D
3 Apr@ Athlone Town2–0W
27 Marvs Cobh Ramblers4–0W
20 Marvs Cork City0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026UCD v Treaty United2–0
Treaty United vs UCD head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Treaty United vs UCD?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Treaty United vs UCD?

On our numbers Treaty United have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and UCD 45%.

How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs UCD?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs UCD?

Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Treaty United vs UCD?

Treaty United vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.