Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultWexford to win ✓56% · @1.78
Double chanceWexford or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Wexford vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Finn Harps travel to face Wexford on Friday 1 May in the First Division, with Ferrycarrig Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Wexford are 8th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Wexford, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cobh Ramblers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Finn Harps, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Athlone Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Wexford, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Finn Harps.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Finn Harps 1–1 Wexford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wexford 1.7 xG, Finn Harps 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wexford 56%, draw 24%, Finn Harps 20%.
Lower-risk option: Wexford or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Wexford or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wexford 1–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wexford56%fair 1.80 · @1.78
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
Finn Harps20%fair 4.98 · @4.35
2.74Expected goals
1.74Wexford xG
1.00Finn Harps xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.7 – 1.0 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Wexford or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wexford vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Wexford have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Finn Harps 20%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs Finn Harps?
Wexford vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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