Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCork City to win ✓56% · @1.64
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Cork City vs UCD: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UCD travel to face Cork City on Friday 8 May in the First Division, with Turners Cross the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Cork City are 1st, leading the league, on 75 points after 36 matches; UCD are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cork City, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kerry, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
UCD, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cobh Ramblers, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours UCD, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Cork City.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended UCD 0–1 Cork City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cork City 1.8 xG, UCD 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cork City 56%, draw 23%, UCD 20%.
Lower-risk option: Cork City or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cork City 1–1 UCD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cork City56%fair 1.77 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.75
UCD20%fair 4.97 · @5.25
2.90Expected goals
1.77Cork City xG
1.13UCD xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Cork City 1.8 – 1.1 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cork City vs UCD?
On our numbers Cork City have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UCD 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cork City vs UCD?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cork City vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Cork City 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cork City vs UCD?
Cork City vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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