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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kerry v Athlone Town: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Mounthawk Park

Kerry

LDLWD
1–0
FT
Kerry 43%Draw 27%Athlone Town 30% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.03
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultKerry to win ✓43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.10

Kerry vs Athlone Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 12 June the First Division brings Kerry against Athlone Town at Mounthawk Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Kerry, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cobh Ramblers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Athlone Town, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to UCD, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Athlone Town 0–0 Kerry. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kerry 0 wins, Athlone Town 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.3 xG, Athlone Town 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 43%, draw 27%, Athlone Town 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Athlone Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kerry43%fair 2.33 · @2.22
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.25
Athlone Town30%fair 3.36 · @3.20
2.29Expected goals
1.26Kerry xG
1.03Athlone Town xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.0 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKerry to win ✓43%2.332.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.83
Draw no betKerry (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapAthlone Town +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.481.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.07
First team to scoreKerry to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kerry / FT Kerry ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.10–

Recent results

Kerry – last 6

LDLWDD
29 May@ Cobh Ramblers0–2L
22 Mayvs Bray Wanderers2–2D
8 May@ Finn Harps0–1L
4 Mayvs Cork City1–0W
1 May@ Athlone Town0–0D
17 Aprvs Treaty United1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Athlone Town – last 6

LLDDDW
29 May@ UCD0–1L
22 Mayvs Cork City0–3L
8 Mayvs Treaty United0–0D
4 May@ Longford Town1–1D
1 Mayvs Kerry0–0D
24 Apr@ Finn Harps2–1W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Athlone Town v Kerry0–0
20 Feb 2026Kerry v Athlone Town0–1
Kerry vs Athlone Town head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kerry vs Athlone Town?

On our numbers Kerry have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Athlone Town 30%.

How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Athlone Town?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Kerry vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.