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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Athlone Town v Finn Harps: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Athlone Town Stadium

Athlone Town

DLLLD
1–1
FT

Finn Harps

LLLDW
Athlone Town 60%Draw 23%Finn Harps 18% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.80
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultAthlone Town to win ✗60% · @1.69
Double chanceAthlone Town or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Athlone Town vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Finn Harps travel to face Athlone Town on Friday 26 June in the First Division, with Athlone Town Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Athlone Town are 7th, lower half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Athlone Town, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wexford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Finn Harps, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cobh Ramblers, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Finn Harps, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Athlone Town.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Finn Harps 1–2 Athlone Town. The last 2 head-to-heads: Athlone Town 2 wins, Finn Harps 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Athlone Town 1.8 xG, Finn Harps 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Athlone Town 60%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Athlone Town or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athlone Town 1–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Athlone Town60%fair 1.67 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.70
Finn Harps18%fair 5.69 · @4.80
2.59Expected goals
1.78Athlone Town xG
0.80Finn Harps xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Athlone Town 1.8 – 0.8 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAthlone Town to win ✗60%1.671.69
Double chanceAthlone Town or draw ✓82%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.981.83
Draw no betAthlone Town (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapAthlone Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreAthlone Town to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultAthlone Town ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Athlone Town / FT Athlone Town ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.40–

Recent results

Athlone Town – last 6

DLLLDD
19 Junvs Wexford2–2D
12 Jun@ Kerry0–1L
29 May@ UCD0–1L
22 Mayvs Cork City0–3L
8 Mayvs Treaty United0–0D
4 May@ Longford Town1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Finn Harps – last 6

LLLDWW
19 Jun@ Cobh Ramblers1–3L
12 Junvs UCD0–5L
29 May@ Cork City0–4L
22 Mayvs Longford Town2–2D
8 Mayvs Kerry1–0W
4 Mayvs Bray Wanderers2–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Finn Harps v Athlone Town1–2
13 Feb 2026Athlone Town v Finn Harps2–1
Athlone Town vs Finn Harps head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub
FT Cork City2 Bray Wanderers0 157%1.62X22%4.00221%5.00 1.9–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Kerry2 Longford Town1 142%2.26X26%3.25231%3.10 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT UCD2 Cobh Ramblers0 156%1.90X24%3.55220%3.85 1.9–1.1xG 1XUCD or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Wexford0 Treaty United0 151%1.72X26%3.80223%4.45 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

On our numbers Athlone Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Finn Harps 18%.

How many goals will there be in Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Our predicted score is Athlone Town 1–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Athlone Town vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Athlone Town Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.