Kerry vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Longford Town travel to face Kerry on Friday 26 June in the First Division, with Mounthawk Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Kerry, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over UCD, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Longford Town, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Bray Wanderers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Kerry 1–1 Longford Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.3 xG, Longford Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 42%, draw 26%, Longford Town 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kerry42%fair 2.36 · @2.26
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Longford Town31%fair 3.19 · @3.10
2.43Expected goals
1.33Kerry xG
1.10Longford Town xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.3 – 1.1 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kerry vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kerry vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Kerry have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Longford Town 31%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Longford Town?
Kerry vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
