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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Finn Harps v Wexford: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Finn Park
1–0
FT

Wexford

DDLLW
Finn Harps 23%Draw 24%Wexford 52% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.60
52%
Betarazi pick

Wexford to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.74 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.74Odds

Picks by market

ResultWexford to win ✗52% · @1.74
Double chanceWexford or draw ✗77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63

Finn Harps vs Wexford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 3 July: Finn Harps v Wexford in the First Division, played at Finn Park. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Wexford are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Finn Harps, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Athlone Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Wexford, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Treaty United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Wexford 2–0 Finn Harps. The last 2 head-to-heads: Finn Harps 0 wins, Wexford 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 1.1 xG, Wexford 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 23%, draw 24%, Wexford 52%.
  • Lower-risk option: Wexford or draw (77%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Wexford to win (52%, odds 1.74). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 0–1 Wexford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Finn Harps23%fair 4.26 · @4.40
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.75
Wexford52%fair 1.92 · @1.74
2.74Expected goals
1.15Finn Harps xG
1.60Wexford xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.1 – 1.6 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWexford to win ✗52%1.921.74
Double chanceWexford or draw ✗77%1.311.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betWexford (draw no bet) ✗69%1.45–
Asian handicapFinn Harps +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.94–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreWexford to score first ✗54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wexford / FT Wexford ✗29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

Finn Harps – last 6

DLLLDW
26 Jun@ Athlone Town1–1D
19 Jun@ Cobh Ramblers1–3L
12 Junvs UCD0–5L
29 May@ Cork City0–4L
22 Mayvs Longford Town2–2D
8 Mayvs Kerry1–0W
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Wexford – last 6

DDLLWL
26 Junvs Treaty United0–0D
19 Jun@ Athlone Town2–2D
12 Junvs Cork City0–2L
29 May@ Bray Wanderers0–4L
22 Mayvs UCD2–1W
8 Mayvs Longford Town1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Wexford v Finn Harps2–0
6 Mar 2026Finn Harps v Wexford1–1
Finn Harps vs Wexford head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Wexford?

Our pick is Wexford to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.

Who will win Finn Harps vs Wexford?

On our numbers Finn Harps have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wexford 52%.

How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Wexford?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Wexford?

Our predicted score is Finn Harps 0–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Finn Harps vs Wexford?

Finn Harps vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.