Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Treaty United v Kerry: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Markets Field
2–1
FT

Kerry

WWWLD
Treaty United 35%Draw 27%Kerry 38% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.21
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultKerry to win ✗38% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.55

Treaty United vs Kerry: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Treaty United welcome Kerry to Markets Field for a First Division fixture on Friday 3 July (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Treaty United, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Wexford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Kerry, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Longford Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kerry, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Treaty United.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Kerry 1–1 Treaty United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Treaty United 0 wins, Kerry 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.1 xG, Kerry 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 35%, draw 27%, Kerry 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–1 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Treaty United35%fair 2.85 · @2.52
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.25
Kerry38%fair 2.66 · @2.74
2.32Expected goals
1.11Treaty United xG
1.21Kerry xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Treaty United 1.1 – 1.2 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKerry to win ✗38%2.662.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.871.77
Draw no betKerry (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapTreaty United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.08
First team to scoreKerry to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kerry / FT Kerry ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.55–

Recent results

Treaty United – last 6

DLDLLL
26 Jun@ Wexford0–0D
19 Jun@ Cork City0–4L
12 Junvs Bray Wanderers2–2D
29 May@ Longford Town1–3L
25 Mayvs Cork City0–1L
22 Mayvs Cobh Ramblers1–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kerry – last 6

WWWLDL
26 Junvs Longford Town2–1W
19 Jun@ UCD1–0W
12 Junvs Athlone Town1–0W
29 May@ Cobh Ramblers0–2L
22 Mayvs Bray Wanderers2–2D
8 May@ Finn Harps0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Kerry v Treaty United1–1
6 Mar 2026Treaty United v Kerry2–2
Treaty United vs Kerry head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Kerry?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Treaty United vs Kerry?

On our numbers Treaty United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kerry 38%.

How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Kerry?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Kerry?

Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Treaty United vs Kerry?

Treaty United vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.