Kerry vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Finn Harps travel to face Kerry on Friday 24 July in the First Division, with Mounthawk Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Kerry, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Shelbourne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Finn Harps, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bray Wanderers, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kerry, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Finn Harps.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Finn Harps 1–0 Kerry. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kerry 1 win, Finn Harps 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.8 xG, Finn Harps 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 60%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 17%.
Lower-risk option: Kerry or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 2–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kerry60%fair 1.67 · @1.71
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.65
Finn Harps17%fair 5.92 · @4.70
2.58Expected goals
1.78Kerry xG
0.81Finn Harps xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.8 – 0.8 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kerry vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Kerry have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Finn Harps 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Kerry 2–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Finn Harps?
Kerry vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
