UCD 34%Draw 23%Cork City 43%Expected goals 1.53 – 1.57
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: UCD to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCork City to win ✗43% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
UCD vs Cork City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 24 July: UCD v Cork City in the First Division, played at UCD Bowl. In the table, UCD are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 36 matches; Cork City are 1st (leading the league) with 75. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCD, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Treaty United, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Cork City, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shamrock Rovers, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Cork City 3–1 UCD. The last 2 head-to-heads: UCD 0 wins, Cork City 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCD 1.5 xG, Cork City 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 34%, draw 23%, Cork City 43%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: UCD to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 1–1 Cork City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCD34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.65
Cork City43%fair 2.31 · @2.08
3.10Expected goals
1.53UCD xG
1.57Cork City xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: UCD 1.5 – 1.6 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UCD vs Cork City?
On our numbers UCD have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cork City 43%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Cork City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Cork City?
UCD vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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