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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Finn Harps v Cork City: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Finn Park
0–3
FT
Finn Harps 14%Draw 20%Cork City 66% Expected goals 0.93 – 2.10
66%
Betarazi pick

Cork City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.32Odds

Picks by market

ResultCork City to win ✓66% · @1.32
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Finn Harps vs Cork City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cork City travel to face Finn Harps on Friday 31 July in the First Division, with Finn Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Cork City are 1st (leading the league) with 75. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Finn Harps, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kerry, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Cork City, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to UCD, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cork City, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Finn Harps.

Head to head

When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Cork City 4–0 Finn Harps. The last 2 head-to-heads: Finn Harps 0 wins, Cork City 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 0.9 xG, Cork City 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 14%, draw 20%, Cork City 66%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cork City to win (66%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 0–2 Cork City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Finn Harps14%fair 7.11 · @8.10
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @5.30
Cork City66%fair 1.52 · @1.32
3.03Expected goals
0.93Finn Harps xG
2.10Cork City xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Finn Harps 0.9 – 2.1 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCork City to win ✓66%1.521.32
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓86%1.161.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.80
Draw no betCork City (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapCork City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
First team to scoreCork City to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultCork City ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cork City / FT Cork City ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

Finn Harps – last 6

LLLWDL
24 Jul@ Kerry1–2L
17 Julvs Bray Wanderers0–1L
10 Julvs Treaty United0–1L
3 Julvs Wexford1–0W
26 Jun@ Athlone Town1–1D
19 Jun@ Cobh Ramblers1–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cork City – last 6

LDLLWW
24 Jul@ UCD2–5L
17 Jul@ Shamrock Rovers1–1D
14 Julvs Cardiff1–6L
10 Julvs Longford Town3–4L
3 Jul@ Cobh Ramblers1–0W
26 Junvs Bray Wanderers2–0W
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 May 2026Cork City v Finn Harps4–0
3 Apr 2026Finn Harps v Cork City0–0
Finn Harps vs Cork City head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Cork City?

Our pick is Cork City to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Finn Harps vs Cork City?

On our numbers Finn Harps have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cork City 66%.

How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Cork City?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Cork City?

Our predicted score is Finn Harps 0–2 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Finn Harps vs Cork City?

Finn Harps vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.