Value bet: Longford Town to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTreaty United to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.54
Treaty United vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 31 July: Treaty United v Longford Town in the First Division, played at Markets Field. In the table, Treaty United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Longford Town are 5th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
Treaty United, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Athlone Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Longford Town, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wexford, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Longford Town 3–1 Treaty United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Treaty United 0 wins, Longford Town 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.3 xG, Longford Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 38%, draw 26%, Longford Town 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Longford Town to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–1 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treaty United38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.35
Longford Town36%fair 2.77 · @3.00
2.57Expected goals
1.26Treaty United xG
1.31Longford Town xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.3 – 1.3 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Treaty United vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Longford Town 36%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Longford Town?
Treaty United vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry4