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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Longford Town v Finn Harps: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Bishopsgate

Longford Town

WLWWW
5–0
FT

Finn Harps

LLLLW
Longford Town 62%Draw 23%Finn Harps 16% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.86
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultLongford Town to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceLongford Town or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Longford Town vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 3 August the First Division brings Longford Town against Finn Harps at Bishopsgate. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Longford Town are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Longford Town, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Treaty United, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Finn Harps, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cork City, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Longford Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Finn Harps.

Head to head

When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Finn Harps 2–2 Longford Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Longford Town 1.9 xG, Finn Harps 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Longford Town 62%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Longford Town or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Longford Town 2–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Longford Town62%fair 1.62 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.75
Finn Harps16%fair 6.31 · @5.00
2.78Expected goals
1.92Longford Town xG
0.86Finn Harps xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Longford Town 1.9 – 0.9 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLongford Town to win ✓62%1.621.65
Double chanceLongford Town or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.981.83
Draw no betLongford Town (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapLongford Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.421.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.181.11
First team to scoreLongford Town to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultLongford Town ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Longford Town / FT Longford Town ✓40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Longford Town – last 6

WLWWWL
31 Jul@ Treaty United1–0W
25 Julvs Wexford1–2L
18 Jul@ Baldoyle United8–0W
10 Jul@ Cork City4–3W
4 Julvs UCD2–1W
26 Jun@ Kerry1–2L
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Finn Harps – last 6

LLLLWD
31 Julvs Cork City0–3L
24 Jul@ Kerry1–2L
17 Julvs Bray Wanderers0–1L
10 Julvs Treaty United0–1L
3 Julvs Wexford1–0W
26 Jun@ Athlone Town1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 May 2026Finn Harps v Longford Town2–2
Longford Town vs Finn Harps head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub
FT Cork City3 Athlone Town2 162%1.40X22%4.30216%8.30 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Kerry3 Cobh Ramblers0 143%2.46X26%3.35231%2.74 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT UCD1 Treaty United2 161%1.66X23%3.90216%4.75 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Wexford2 Bray Wanderers1 132%2.88X24%3.55244%2.28 1.4–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

On our numbers Longford Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Finn Harps 16%.

How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

Our predicted score is Longford Town 2–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

Longford Town vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.