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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UCD v Treaty United: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · UCD Bowl

UCD

DWWLL
1–2
FT
UCD 61%Draw 23%Treaty United 16% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.92
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultUCD to win ✗61% · @1.66
Double chanceUCD or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

UCD vs Treaty United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Treaty United travel to face UCD on Monday 3 August in the First Division, with UCD Bowl the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, UCD are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 36 matches; Treaty United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 42. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

UCD, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Athlone Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Treaty United, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Longford Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended Treaty United 1–2 UCD. The last 3 head-to-heads: UCD 3 wins, Treaty United 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UCD 2.0 xG, Treaty United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 61%, draw 23%, Treaty United 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: UCD or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 2–0 Treaty United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UCD61%fair 1.63 · @1.66
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.90
Treaty United16%fair 6.22 · @4.75
2.89Expected goals
1.97UCD xG
0.92Treaty United xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: UCD 2.0 – 0.9 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUCD to win ✗61%1.631.66
Double chanceUCD or draw ✗84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.62
Draw no betUCD (draw no bet) ✗79%1.26–
Asian handicapUCD -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.18
First team to scoreUCD to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultUCD ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT UCD / FT UCD ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

UCD – last 6

DWWLLW
31 Jul@ Athlone Town0–0D
24 Julvs Cork City5–2W
17 Jul@ Treaty United2–1W
10 Jul@ Bray Wanderers0–6L
4 Jul@ Longford Town1–2L
26 Junvs Cobh Ramblers2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Treaty United – last 6

LWLWWD
31 Julvs Longford Town0–1L
24 Julvs Athlone Town2–1W
17 Julvs UCD1–2L
10 Jul@ Finn Harps1–0W
3 Julvs Kerry2–1W
26 Jun@ Wexford0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jul 2026Treaty United v UCD1–2
24 Apr 2026Treaty United v UCD0–3
27 Feb 2026UCD v Treaty United2–0
UCD vs Treaty United head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCD vs Treaty United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win UCD vs Treaty United?

On our numbers UCD have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Treaty United 16%.

How many goals will there be in UCD vs Treaty United?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UCD vs Treaty United?

Our predicted score is UCD 2–0 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is UCD vs Treaty United?

UCD vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.